Finally, I asked the doctor if there were any type of medical specialist that would have significantly more use for the machine than he did. When he answered no, I knew that this technological breakthrough would be an economic failure.
The engineers had made a typical entrepreneurial mistake. Rather than investigate whether a viable market existed, they merely assumed that one did. It would not have been difficult for them to do the same kind of delving that I did. Had they spent a few hours investigating the device’s prospects from a market, rather than a technological, perspective, they could have saved themselves 18 months of work and more than $50,000. Up-front research is important for any new business and essential for one that involves anything new or different. In the case of some more traditional businesses, the research method may be well established and straightforward. For example, to determine whether to locate a new convenience store in a given area, the research largely involves checking traffic f low, competition, and perhaps readily available neighborhood demographics.
In the case of something innovative, however, you need to at least get an indication that the world (more accurately your target niche) is interested in the product or service on which you propose to base your business. The fact that you may think it’s a good idea, or your wife or brother or friend thinks it’s a good idea, doesn’t mean it’s marketable. And just because no one else is already producing it doesn’t mean it’s marketable. In fact, if no one else is already engaged in a similar business, a good question might be Why not? Could it be that several have tried and learned the concept just doesn’t f ly? Could it be that no one else has thought of it? A littler digging into the reasons would be well worthwhile.
To many lifestyle entrepreneurs, doing something new and unique is an important reason for going into business. This is laudable to be sure, but keep in mind that the traditional entrepreneur has no such requirement. Copying the working model for a convenience store, print shop, or any of thousands of exist ing concepts is fine with most small business people. That is why franchise businesses are so successful—their pitch essentially involves duplication of a model that is already proven to work, not uniqueness, creativity, or self -expression. Starting a business based on a concept that is in any way new or unique is starting with an added challenge. Even if a service exists that your target market clearly needs, that fact alone still may not be good enough to assure a successful business venture. Those in your target market have to know they need the product or be ready to be persuaded that they need it. Unless enough prospects are ready, willing, and able to become buyers of your product or service, and unless you can reach those prospects without unreasonable effort, you don’t have a viable business.
At some point you’ll have to make the go/no-go decision and in all likelihood with less than perfect information. Very seldom can entrepreneurs know for certain that their venture will succeed. However, you can and should take several steps to minimize your risk by evaluating your prospects for success before you begin your business. Some of those steps are explained below.


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