It’s a Great Idea, but Is It a Business?
Someone once said of William Paley, the founder of CBS,
that “he knew what was good and he knew what would sell, and
he never confused the two. The point is that people won’t necessarily
pay for what may be good or even what they need, no matter
how overwhelming the proof of goodness or need. It is
essential to know, or to quickly determine, what people will pay
for when you’re trying to sell something to them.
One of the biggest difficulties I see in those who fit my profile
as lifestyle entrepreneurs is that they don’t, or won’t, understand
the difference between what should be and what is. Traditional
entrepreneurs have no such problem; what’s good is what people
will buy at a price that yields a nice profit. Just because you think
something is a good idea and are convinced—and can prove—that
people need it doesn’t necessarily mean it’s a good business idea.
In a free marketplace, people can accept or reject just about any
product or service they want to for just about any reason, whether
that reason makes sense or not. Undoubtedly, many excellent
products fail and many bad ones succeed.
The question to be answered, by actual testing if possible (see
Chapter 4), is will they buy it, not should they buy it. Even if they
will buy it, the next question is will they buy it at a price at which
you can make some money. Clearly, you can’t stay in business too
long if you’re buying something for $10 and reselling it for $9.
But even if you’re buying it for $10 and selling it for $20, it’s not
a viable business if it costs you an average of $11 in marketing
expense to find and acquire each customer who will buy it for
that price.

For example, direct mail businesses typically resell products
for at least double the amount for which they buy them. This may
seem an easy way to make lots of money, but most direct mail
firms’ catalogs and brochures end up in wastebaskets with no accompanying
orders. As a rule of thumb (though it varies a great
deal from industry to industry and company to company), a response
rate of 2 percent from a direct mailing is considered
pretty good. If a catalog costs $1.00 to produce and $0.50 to mail,
and 98 of 100 are discarded, the company doing the mailing has
in essence paid $150 to acquire 2 customers. If the company doubles
the price it pays for each product, those 2 customers have to
order $300 worth of stuff for the company to break even, and that
doesn’t include overhead costs like telephones, office space,
warehousing, and so on. This example is oversimplified to make
the basic point that you have to evaluate a product’s or service’s
money-making potential in the world as it is, not as it perhaps
should be.
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